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FNAK79 PAFG 181436
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Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
636 AM AKDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A Red Flag Warning will be in effect from noon until 10 PM today. Conditions
will be hot and dry over most of the Yukon flats including near the fire for
the rest of the week with temperatures remaining in the mid 70s to low 80s with
RHs in the lower 30s or below. There is a chance for thunderstorms and showers
this afternoon and tomorrow. Thunderstorms will have a greater chance of forming
today and may cause wetting rain, hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning.
Winds will be light except during showers and thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered showers
                    through the day. Scattered thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................34 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 5300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West wind 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 7 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...TROYKE
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.3/AFG
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0