806
FNAK79 PAFG 180131
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
531 PM AKDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot conditions continue through much of the upcoming week,
accompanied by westerly winds less than 10 mph, as ridging aloft
persists across the fire. Overnight RH recovery will be good, but
minimum RH values will drop to around 30 percent during the
afternoons. Thunderstorm potential increases Tuesday afternoon
for the fire, with isolated wet thunderstorms possible each
afternoon and evening through at least Friday. Outflows from
thunderstorms may produce strong, gusty, and erratic winds across
the fire.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke through the night. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Haze and areas of
                    smoke. Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 5300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke through the night. Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Isolated rain showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......West 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.7/AFG
.DELDT 06/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0