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FNAK79 PAFG 220152
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
552 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure aloft will persist through the weekend. Hot and dry
conditions expected, with afternoon temperatures in the lower 80s
and minimum RH values bottoming out near 25 percent. Northeast winds
will prevail and are expected to be less than 10 mph, but may become
gusty during the afternoon hours with diurnal heating. An upper
level disturbance moving across the fire on Sunday will support
isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 11 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming south after
                    4 am AKDT.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 7 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BILLINGS
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.10/AFG
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0