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FNAK79 PAFG 200232
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 189 Checkerman...Yukon Fire Dispatch
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
632 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A thermal low pressure trough not too far to the
northeast of the fire will move southward toward the fire on
Thursday, then remain near or just to the south of the fire for
Friday into the weekend. Thursday will be cooler and more humid,
then there will be warming and drying trend from Friday into the
weekend.

Scattered rain showers and primarily afternoon/evening isolated
thunderstorms look to occur into Thursday night. Small hail and
gusty erratic winds may accompany thunderstorms. Friday will have
drier conditions with just isolated rain showers possible. Minimum
afternoon RH values look to dip below 30 percent starting on
Friday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................11 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered rain
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......North wind 7 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers through the day.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 11 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...CHAMBERS
Requested by...Yukon Fire Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416414.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0