Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
344 FNAK52 PAFC 232349 FWFALU FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... An active day of shower and thunderstorm activity is underway across the Greater Bristol Bay region. A compact area of low pressure has aided in a persistent and near-stationary storm to the southwest of Iliamna and to the northeast of Igiugig. This storm has been producing frequent lighting throughout the day. Subsequent outflow from the storm has since wrapped cyclonically (counter-clockwise) all the way to Dillingham and Levelock with additional showers and thunderstorms popping up in its path. Satellite imagery suggests outflow will continue southward, likely pushing offshore of the coast with the next couple of hours. Isolated to scattered wet thunderstorms will continue through the evening hours. Winds, however, remain below 10 mph across Greater Bristol Bay and RH values remain above 60%. Conditions have been quieter elsewhere across Southwest Alaska with the Kuskokwim Delta likely to remain dry today, while the Middle Kuskokwim Valley and Western Alaska Range could see showers and thunderstorms develop later this afternoon and evening. Lightning potential will redevelop on Monday with temperatures likely to be warmer than today. Thunderstorm chances begin to dwindle on Tuesday as a front approaches the Southwest coast and high pressure gets nudged further north into interior Alaska. AKZ153-241745- MIDDLE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY- INCLUDING...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE 349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .ABOVE 1500 FT... TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 50 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+1) 57-66 (+2) 53 56-66 RH % (24H TREND) 79-85 (-9) 52-69 (0) 80-86 48-59 20FTWND(MPH) NW 7-16 N 3-6 LGT/VAR S 9-20 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5023 6395 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 S 18 CWR 10 10 10 10 LAL 3 3 3 2 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35376 123240 REMARKS...NONE. .BELOW 1500 FT... TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (0) 67-73 (+2) 56 66-73 RH % (24H TREND) 79-86 (-7) 42-55 (-2) 80-89 40-47 20FTWND(MPH) NW 6-13 NW 1-6 SE 1-5 S 9-17 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5266 7288 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 5 S 17 CWR 10 10 10 10 LAL 3 3 3 2 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36912 127414 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ AKZ155-241745- KUSKOKWIM DELTA- INCLUDING...BETHEL...NUNIVAK ISLAND 349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .INLAND AREAS... TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (+1) 70 (+2) 53 71 RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-5) 49 (-1) 89 47 20FTWND(MPH) NW 9-18 NW 2-7 LGT/VAR S 9-20 G27 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5348 7657 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 SE 22 CWR 0 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33925 161875 REMARKS...NONE. .COASTAL AREAS... TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (0) 59 (+1) 48 60 RH % (24H TREND) 93 (0) 55-67 (-2) 89 47-63 20FTWND(MPH) NW 16-20 NW 7-12 NW 5-12 SE 17-26 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2873 3852 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 SE 28 CWR 0 0 0 0 LAL 1 1 1 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23986 102465 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. $$ AKZ162-241745- GREATER BRISTOL BAY- INCLUDING...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...PILOT POINT 349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .INLAND AREAS... TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 60 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+3) 61-68 (+1) 52 58-66 RH % (24H TREND) 81-91 (0) 55-66 (+3) 82-91 46-58 20FTWND(MPH) NW 6-15 SW 1-5 S 2-8 SE 8-19 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5172 5947 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SE 18 CWR 10 20 10 0 LAL 3 3 3 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 42466 141624 REMARKS...NONE. .COASTAL AREAS... TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 47-53 (+2) 61-68 (-2) 49 59-67 RH % (24H TREND) 85-93 (0) 55-66 (+6) 94 50-60 20FTWND(MPH) NW 4-15 SW 2-11 SW 3-10 SE 11-23 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4874 5839 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SE 24 CWR 10 10 10 0 LAL 2 2 2 1 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35174 109642 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. $$ AKZ163-241745- WESTERN ALASKA RANGE- INCLUDING...LAKE CLARK NATIONAL PARK AND PRESERVE 349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024 TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 60 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+6) 65-71 (0) 55 64-72 RH % (24H TREND) 79-85 (-15) 45-60 (+2) 76-82 37-52 20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-10 SW 3-6 S 2-6 S 5-18 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5041 7598 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 SE 16 CWR 40 40 20 10 LAL 3 3 3 2 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 43538 107831 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$