000
FXUS64 KAMA 241709
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1209 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

- Thunderstorms possible in the southeast along and ahead of a
  cold font. Lightning, gusty winds, and brief heavy rain
  possible. Severe weather is not expected.

- No rain expected through Monday after today.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

A southward moving cold front approaching the Palmer Divide will
move south across the Panhandles today.  The cold front is expected
to be moving across the southeast Texas Panhandle during peak
heating today.  This front may combine with just enough moisture to
help produce some showers and thunderstorms during the late
afternoon in the southeast Texas Panhandle. By evening, the front
should be south of the Texas Panhandle taking any precipitation with
it. A surface high will build into the Panhandles on Wednesday
bringing lighter winds.  On Wednesday an upper level low will pinch
off from the flow and become closed near Saint Louis.

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

The upper level low will become cutoff from the flow and will
meander around Arkansas or southeast Missouri in between 2 highs one
off the southeast U.S. coast and another over the southern Rockies
through the first part of the weekend.  The low will then finally
move off to the northeast Sunday and Monday.  The Panhandles will be
generally on the back side of the upper level low through the early
part of the weekend.  There may be some showers or thunderstorms
that clip the eastern Panhandles during the later part of this week
if a well-timed short wave trough moves across the area and it has
just enough moisture to work with.

High temperatures are expected to remain above average through the
rest of this week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

VFR conditions are expected through this forecast period. A cold
front has passed through KGUY and KDHT resulting in breezy
northerly winds. The cold front is currently projected to move
through KAMA around 1845z, give or take around 15 minutes. Winds
will weaken from the north to south later today, culminating in
light and variable winds tonight through tomorrow morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                53  83  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  50  81  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              49  80  49  83 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  54  86  53  88 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              51  84  51  87 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  52  82  51  85 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               55  83  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 47  81  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  48  81  47  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                52  84  51  87 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                52  83  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   52  82  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                56  84  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              56  85  53  85 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...52