769
FNUS53 KAPX 210829
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
429 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...Rain Chances Through The Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...

A wet pattern will continue through early next week. Winds remain
generally light to breezy at times. Heaviest rainfall will likely
be Saturday, with chances increasing for widespread moderate rain
through most of the day and embedded storms. Temperatures will
generally remain near seasonal to slightly below.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-212015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
429 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers. Isolated
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 12 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (124).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.56 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (133).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.95- 1.60 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
429 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (137).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.54 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers until 1200.
                    Scattered thunderstorms. Rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (209).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.34- 1.43 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-212015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
429 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (147).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.45 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (211).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.76- 1.53 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-212015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
429 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (195).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.21 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.50 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered showers until 1200. Chance of
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (252).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.46- 1.43 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
429 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Isolated showers and thunderstorms until
                    1200, then scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (188).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.56 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered showers until 1200. Chance of
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (359).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 1.52 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD