914
FNUS53 KAPX 210854
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
454 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...Good chance of showers on Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...Morning fog and low clouds will burn off this
morning, with a mostly sunny and warm afternoon. Winds will be
light and variable today, and humidity values will be somewhat
lower than yesterday. Ahead of our next cold front, clouds will
increase tonight, and rain chances push into western areas late.
Better shower and thunderstorm chances will be seen Sunday and
Sunday night. Breezy northwest to north winds will kick in by the
end of the day Sunday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-212200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
454 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (251).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (155).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.26 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
454 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (286).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-212200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
454 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (168).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the north
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.34 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-212200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
454 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (380).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (142).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.36 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
454 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (459).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (136).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.31 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ