422
ABNT20 KNHC 221144
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development of this system as it moves slowly
west-northwestward or northwestward, and a tropical depression could
form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico
Sunday night.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could
cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and
Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend.  An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this
system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Near the Georgia Coast (AL92):
A low pressure system centered inland over southeastern Georgia is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly over the
coastal waters off of northeastern Florida and Georgia.  The low
is expected to drift slowly northwestward or northward today before
dissipating tonight.  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg