Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
149
FNUS75 KBOU 180944
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Bear Creek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
344 AM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny until 0900 then partly cloudy, after 1500
mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Minimum humidity will be around 25 percent. Winds will be east at
6 to 12 mph until 1300, then northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
20 mph.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 0900, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1500, then
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................8 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 12 mph until 1300. Northeast 10
to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph after
1500. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 2600 ft AGL
until 1100, then 6600 ft AGL until 1600, then
4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph until 0700, then 8 to 10 mph
until 0900, then southeast 8 to 13 mph until
1100, then south 15 to 20 mph until 1400, then
north until 1600, then east until 1700, then
north.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1300, then
very good until 1400, then good until 1700,
then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15 24 20 35 32 28 38 40 42 57 68 65
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............52 53 55 59 63 67 70 72 73 73 71 69
RH..............43 44 45 40 36 33 29 27 25 25 27 30
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 8 10 12 12 12 12 12 10
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 9 12 13 15 16 18 21 18 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 2.9 4.5 6.4 6.9 6.6 5.9 4.1 2.8
Transp wind dir.S S SE SE S S SW SW N N E N
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 8 12 16 17 18 17 18 20 15
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 6 10 17 29 63 96 111 99 94 69 37
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P G G VG G G G P
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
CWR.................6 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 12 mph until 2400, then
variable up to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL until 2000. Below 1000 FT AGL after
2200.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 13 mph until 2200, then 8 to 9
mph until 2400, then north around 8 mph until
0200, then 8 to 9 mph until 0400, then light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72 69 68 67 61 50 48 33 35 34 41 41
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............65 62 59 56 54 52 51 50 49 48 46 45
RH..............35 36 40 45 48 54 56 58 61 63 68 70
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E SE S
20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 6 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT wind gust.14 13 12 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.5 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N NW W
Transp wind spd.13 12 10 8 7 6 5 6 6 7 7 7
Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32 25 12 9 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P
.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0800, then
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................2 percent increasing to 27 percent in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 0700, then southeast
5 to 7 mph until 0900, then east 5 to 13 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 0700, then south 8 to 14 mph
until 1400, then southeast 11 to 16 mph until
1700, then northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1200, then
good until 1700, then fair.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46 49 52 56 59 62 65 67 69 71 72 74
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4
Temp............46 49 50 53 57 61 62 65 67 69 69 68
RH..............68 66 63 59 54 49 50 47 43 43 44 45
20 FT wind dir..S SE SE SE SE E E E E SE E E
20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 8 8
20 FT wind gust.6 7 7 9 12 13 13 13 15 15 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.7 6.2 6.7 5.2 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S S S SE NE
Transp wind spd.7 8 10 12 13 13 14 14 13 13 14 15
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 11 20 32 42 52 63 67 70 73 63 50
SmokeDispersion.P P P P F F G G G G G F
$$
Forecaster...RPK
Requested by...David Waters
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416272.1/BOU
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL David.waters@usda.gov