Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
193
FNUS75 KBOU 251028
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Turkey tracks 5...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
428 AM MDT Wed Sep 25 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry conditions are expected today.
Temperatures should end up about 5-10 degrees warmer than Tuesday,
with relative humidity a little bit lower. Lightly south-
southwesterly flow is expected to transition to a modest
southeasterly wind late this morning or early afternoon. Winds
should generally remain less than 10 mph, but a couple of gusts
into the 15-20 mph range will be possible during the afternoon
hours. Winds will transition back to a steady southerly wind
overnight tonight, with relative humidity recovering back to
around 60%.
Warm and dry weather will continue on Thursday... perhaps a touch
warmer and drier than today. Winds will likely end up with more of
a northeasterly direction Thursday afternoon with slightly
stronger speeds than today. A similar pattern should continue into
the weekend.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph until 0900, then light,
then southeast 5 to 10 mph after 1400.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000. 6900 ft AGL after
1200.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph until 1100, then southwest 8
to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1400, then fair until 1500, then
good until 1700, then fair.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............48 46 48 56 64 68 73 74 75 76 75 73
RH..............57 61 57 45 32 26 22 19 19 18 20 22
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 7 9 8
20 FT wind gust.9 9 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 11 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 2.4 4.2 5.4 6.4 7.3 7.6 7.6 5.3
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S
Transp wind spd.8 7 6 6 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 4 3 4 10 17 27 38 51 61 68 48
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P F G G F
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph until 2000, then south
until 2400, then southwest 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
2000.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 66 62 58 57 54 53 52 50 49 48 48
RH..............25 30 36 42 43 48 52 52 56 58 59 60
20 FT wind dir..SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 7
20 FT wind gust.15 15 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 13 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW S S S SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 15 14 13
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25 9 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 7
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph until 1000, then
north. Northeast 7 to 12 mph after 1400.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000, then 2200 ft AGL
until 1100, then 5100 ft AGL until 1200, then
9500 ft AGL until 1700, then 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph until 1000, then
northwest 8 to 12 mph until 1600, then north
around 10 mph until 1700, then northeast.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1300, then
good until 1700, then fair.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 2 2 1 2 2 3 5 8 10 16 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............48 47 52 58 66 71 75 77 78 78 77 76
RH..............61 61 55 46 31 23 19 17 17 17 18 19
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW W NW N N NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 9
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 12 9 12 12 13 15 15 16 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.9 2.2 5.1 7.9 8.7 9.6 11 8.0 5.6
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NE
Transp wind spd.12 9 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 5 4 7 16 35 55 67 80 94 72 50
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P F G G G G F
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 7 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 7 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Hiris
Requested by...Austin Nuss
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423003.0/BOU
.DELDT 09/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Austin.Nuss@usda.gov