770
FXUS61 KCLE 180551
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
151 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain in control through the weekend as
remnant low pressure moves along the Atlantic coast through
Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
12:30 AM Update...

The forecast remains on track overnight. Just tweaked hourly
temps, dew points, and winds based on current observations.

930 PM EDT Update...
The forecast remains on track and no changes were needed with
this update. High clouds will persist across the area into
Wednesday with tonight`s lows falling into the upper 50s to
lower 60s.

Previous Discussion...
High pressure remains in control despite the remnant low
pressure moving along the Atlantic coast. Some mid to high level
clouds on the outer edges of the low will continue to move
overhead through this evening and into Wednesday. Kept much of
the forecast dry through the near term period with some slight
chance PoPs across southeast zones Wednesday morning and early
afternoon.

Overnight lows tonight will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s
as much of the area will see overcast skies. Afternoon highs on
Wednesday will remain above normal as they rise into the mid 70s
across the eastern half of the forecast area and low/mid 80s
across the western half of the area. Overnight lows Wednesday
night will once again dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Dew
points each evening will range between the upper 50s to lower
60s which could allow for patchy fog to develop tonight and
Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will be the main player for the short term leading to
sunny, dry, and above average temperatures. A low pressure system
will be moving up the East Coast but will not be able to overcome
the high pressure over the region and stay to the east. Western
portion of the CWA will be clear through the period as the eastern
portion clears out Thursday afternoon/evening. Expect the drought
conditions to continue with an expansion in the coming days. As
mentioned, temperatures should remain above average for the period
with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the upper 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Similar story for the long term as high pressure continues to
dominate the region for the beginning portion of the period. The
next chance for precipitation will be Sunday night into Monday as a
cold front moves northeast across the region. PoP chances are
trending upwards for Monday and Tuesday but have capped them off at
a low chance for Monday afternoon due to the models timing and
duration being unclear on those criteria. Temperatures will continue
to be above average with highs in the 80s and lows in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
VFR should prevail through the TAF cycle as the remnants of the
subtropical low stay to the southeast. This will just lead to a
scattered to broken cloud deck between 5 and 10 thousand feet at
times today and tonight, especially in the eastern half of the
area affecting KCLE, KCAK, KYNG, and KERI. There could be some
mist or fog at KMFD, KCAK, and KYNG late tonight (early Thursday
morning), but confidence is low at this point.

Light E to SE winds early this morning will become E to NE at
5-10 knots this afternoon, especially near the lakeshore at
KTOL, KCLE, and KERI as the lake breeze quickly pushes through.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Sunday. Non-VFR
possible in showers as early as Sunday night.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will be 10-15 kts out of the northeast through the rest of the
evening and then shift out of the east-southeast overnight before
returning to the northeast with the lake breeze setting up Wednesday
afternoon. Starting Thursday, winds will be light out of the
northeast at 5-10 kts through the weekend. Waves will stay below
headline criteria at 1 to 2 feet, with spots potentially seeing up
to 3 feet during higher afternoon winds.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Iverson
NEAR TERM...Garuckas/Iverson/Maines
SHORT TERM...Kennedy
LONG TERM...Kennedy
AVIATION...Garuckas
MARINE...Kennedy