988
FNUS73 KDLH 161956
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for S190...Lake Superior College
National Weather Service Duluth MN
256 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on September 16.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies are expected through the rest of the
afternoon. There is a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms.
Showers and storms will be slow-moving and have the potential of
producing locally heavy rainfall of more than an inch per hour.
Temperature will climb to around 86 degrees. Minimum humidity will
dip to around 57 percent. Winds will be from the south around 7
mph and will be gusty and erratic near storms. Transport winds
will be from the south with excellent smoke dispersal decreasing
to good by early evening. Precipitation chances decrease this
evening to around 10 percent. Low temp tonight will bottom out
around 62 degrees and RH will rise to around 93 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL decreasing to 3500 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (78800 knot-ft) decreasing to good
                    (38400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20
Temp............85  84  83
RH..............58  58  59
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   11  13
Mix hgt (kft)...6.1 6.1 3.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  15  13
Haines index....4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100079  79  38

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4700-14100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............81  76  74  71  69  68  67  65  64  64  63  63
RH..............63  71  76  81  87  84  87  90  93  90  93  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  11  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  10  8   10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100014  6   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south 6 to
                    9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4700-22300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (38900 knot-ft) late in the morning, then
                    increasing to excellent (62100-91100 knot-ft)
                    in the afternoon decreasing to good (51000
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............62  62  64  68  73  76  80  81  82  82  82  82
RH..............93  93  93  84  73  69  62  58  56  56  56  56
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   9   12  14  15  16  16  16  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.8 3.9 5.0 5.1 5.0 5.2 3.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   10  14  16  18  21  21  18  20  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   5   12  22  39  62  89  91  80  88  51

$$

Forecaster...Kevin
Requested by...Benjamin Evans
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422583.0/DLH
.DELDT 09/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin.evans@lsc.edu