646
FNUS73 KDLH 171048
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Wood Lake...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
548 AM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on September 17.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

There may be a few showers/thunderstorms today into tonight (20-40%
chance). It will again be very warm with highs in the lower eighties
with a minimum humidity near 50%. Expect southerly winds and as
mixing deepens late morning into the afternoon, gusts near 20 mph
will develop. Wednesday will be dry and warm with humidity
dropping to 40 to 45%. Southerly winds will continue. There will be
a chance for showers and thunderstorms Thursday/Thursday night but
significant rainfall looks unlikely.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 2 until 1700, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 5300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 17 to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4500-19800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (30700 knot-ft) late in the morning, then
                    increasing to good to excellent (57300-77100
                    knot-ft) early in the afternoon increasing to
                    excellent (84300 knot-ft) late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to good (57400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2
Temp............64     66     72     79     82     83
RH..............95     92     80     71     57     53
20 ft wind......SE 4   S 6    S 7    SW 8   SW 8   S 8
20 ft wind gust.8      14     16     16     18     19
Mix hgt (ft)....500    800    1600   3800   5100   5100
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   S 14   SW 17  S 17   S 20
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10005      7      20     57     77     87

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (44000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (4500-9700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30           30           30
LAL.............3            3            3
Temp............80           69           66
RH..............61           89           92
20 FT wind......S 7G14       S 5G13       S 5G12
Mix hgt (ft)....3100         600          500
Transport wind..S 16         S 12         S 10
Haines index....3            3            4
SDspl kt-ft/100044           6            5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 17 to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4500-14700 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (39500-61500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR       NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20           10           0
LAL.............2            1            1
Temp............63           72           84
RH..............97           73           46
20 FT wind......S 5G11       S 6G14       S 8G16
Mix hgt (ft)....500          1600         3100
Transport wind..S 12         S 18         S 21
Haines index....4            4            4
SDspl kt-ft/10005            26           55

$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Jeb Backe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422379.5/DLH
.DELDT 09/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.friedmeyer@usda.gov