Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
583
FNUS73 KDLH 201051
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Wood Lake Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
551 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on September 20.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Partly cloudy skies to start this morning, then turn mostly cloudy
for late morning into early afternoon before clouds begin clearing
out late this afternoon into tonight. 20 ft winds will be out of
the west-southwest today at around 7-10 mph, with gusts to around
15 mph. Min RH values drop to around 45 to 50 percent this
afternoon, with smoke dispersal becoming good. in the late morning
through afternoon.

Winds back to southerly this evening and tonight while turning
light with RH recovery above 90 percent under mostly clear skies.

Saturday will see cloud cover increasing throughout the day. Winds
will be southerly, increasing to 8 to 10 mph during mid morning
through afternoon. Gusts will also increase to around 20 mph for
the afternoon hours. Min RH will drop to around 50 percent during
the afternoon. There will also be a 10 to 20 percent chance for
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms during the late morning
and afternoon, with expected rainfall amounts of one tenth of an
inch or less. Smoke dispersal will become good to excellent during
the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (7100-15200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (27100-43500 knot-ft) in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then increasing to
                    good (49100 knot-ft) late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to fair (29100 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............60  63  66  68  70  71  71  72  72  71
RH..............90  84  75  70  66  61  57  53  51  53
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.11  13  14  14  15  16  16  16  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.8 2.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  14  14  13  14  14  15  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10007   15  27  36  40  38  42  44  49  29

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to
                    7 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1900-13600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     65     58     54     53     51
RH..............55     68     83     90     86     89
20 ft wind......W 5    SW 3   SW 2   SW 2   S 2    S 2
20 ft wind gust.11     7      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..W 9    W 5    S 5    SW 7   SW 7   S 6
Haines index....3      4      4      4      6      6
SDspl kt-ft/100014     2      2      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then shifting to the southwest
                    around 9 mph with gusts to around 19 mph late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the west around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900-10400 knot-ft) increasing to good to
                    excellent (42400-67800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
Weather cov.....             S CHC        S CHC
Weather type....NONE         RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                          S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10           20           20
LAL.............1            1            2
Temp............48           66           78
RH..............93           61           50
20 FT wind......S 2G5        S 5G13       S 9G20
Mix hgt (ft)....500          900          4000
Transport wind..S 7          S 13         S 20
Haines index....6            6            4
SDspl kt-ft/10003            10           68

$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Jeb Backe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422772.0/DLH
.DELDT 09/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL walkaman.white@gmail.com