Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
737
FNUS73 KDLH 182014
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Inch Lake RX...WI DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
314 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 19.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds become southwesterly Sunday afternoon with more rain
expected late Sunday evening into Monday. Before rain arrives on
Sunday, min RH values may fall as low as 30 to 35 percent, but
with wind gusts remaining under 15 mph, fire weather activity is
expected to be low. Smoke dispersal will be good to excellent
given mixing heights at or slightly above 6000 feet through the
afternoon.
Late Sunday night into Monday will see the return of thunderstorm
chances with the rain throughout the day. Due to the rain, mixing
heights will peak only around 2000 ft or less Monday afternoon
with poor to fair smoke dispersal. Rainfall totals from late
Sunday into Monday will be on the order of one-third to one-half
inch.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........72 at ignition...Max 75.
RH..................33 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 7 mph at
ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 6 to 7
mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /96600 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /96600 knot-ft/ decreasing to
good (59200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............72 73 75 74 75 72
RH..............33 31 31 32 33 37
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.14 14 13 12 12 11
Mix hgt (kft)...6.0 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.4 4.9
Transp wind dir.W W SW W SW S
Transp wind spd.18 17 16 17 17 14
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100097 94 87 95 95 59
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the evening. Rain showers likely
overnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
3 am.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0400, then 2.
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming southeast around
5 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(3300-12500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.35 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 30 40 40 60 70
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2
Temp............71 65 57 56 54 53
RH..............41 54 64 72 77 74
20 ft wind......S 5 S 4 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4
20 ft wind gust.11 9 9 8 8 9
Mix hgt (ft)....3400 500 500 500 600 700
Transport wind..S 13 SE 10 SE 9 S 9 SE 9 SE 9
Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100037 5 4 4 5 6
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1000, then 1 until 1300, then 2.
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
southwest around 6 mph early in the afternoon,
then shifting to the northwest late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph shifting to the west 12 to
14 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (8700-22300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.14 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70 50 50 50 40 40
LAL.............2 2 1 1 2 2
Temp............53 56 60 62 64 66
RH..............89 90 81 77 74 70
20 ft wind......SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 SW 5 W 5 N 5
20 ft wind gust.9 12 12 13 14 13
Mix hgt (ft)....800 900 900 1500 1800 2000
Transport wind..SE 14 S 16 S 12 SW 14 W 14 W 13
Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100010 12 9 17 22 22
$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Eric Sirrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414590.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Eric.sirrine@wi.gov