Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
481
FNUS73 KDLH 191524
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Kawishiwi Lakes RX...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1024 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 CDT on May 19.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly cloudy tonight with chances for showers increasing after
3AM. Rain showers will persist through the morning hours Monday
before tapering off Monday afternoon. Rainfall totals through
Monday afternoon will be in the 0.10 to 0.20 inch range. Highs
Monday will be around 63 with afternoon RH values falling to
around 60 percent. Winds will be from the southeast at 5 to 10
mph and then shift to the southwest by mid to late afternoon. A
break in the rainfall is expected for Monday evening into Monday
night before the next system arrives Tuesday midday into Tuesday
afternoon. This second system will bring much more rainfall to the
region with amounts in excess of 2 inches being possible into
Wednesday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
sprinkles overnight. Slight chance of rain
showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL decreasing to 1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 15 mph shifting to the south 7
to 9 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (68800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
fair (2200-16100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
Temp............68 66 62 59 56 53 53 51 51 50 49 49
RH..............32 36 41 47 53 59 57 61 61 66 71 74
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..7 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.14 13 12 11 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 1.8 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.W SW SW SW SW S S S S SE SE S
Transp wind spd.15 10 9 9 7 7 9 8 9 8 7 8
Haines index....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100069 16 5 7 4 6 7 3 7 3 2 2
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then slight chance of
rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
southwest late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph shifting to the west
around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3300-20100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.08 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40 50 40 30 20 20
Temp............48 52 55 58 62 63
RH..............80 77 74 69 62 60
20 ft wind......E 4 E 5 SE 5 SE 6 S 5 SW 5
20 ft wind gust.9 11 11 11 11 9
Mix hgt (ft)....500 600 1300 1900 2300 2400
Transport wind..SE 8 SE 10 SE 15 SE 13 S 9 W 9
Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10003 5 17 20 19 20
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1900-13400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10
RH..............62 67 80 86 93 89
20 ft wind......NW 4 N 4 N 3 N 3 N 3 N 3
20 ft wind gust.9 8 7 6 5 6
Mix hgt (ft)....1800 1200 600 400 300 300
Transport wind..NW 8 NW 8 NW 7 NW 7 NW 7 N 8
Haines index....3 3 3 3 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100013 8 4 2 2 2
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east
6 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL late in
the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph increasing to east around
20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3600-20800 knot-ft) increasing to
fair to good (25800-38100 knot-ft) late in the
morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.33 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 40 40
Temp............48 52 58 61 62 60
RH..............89 80 69 60 58 60
20 ft wind......NE 4 NE 4 E 5 E 7 E 9 E 9
20 ft wind gust.6 7 9 13 14 15
Mix hgt (ft)....600 1300 2300 3100 2900 1800
Transport wind..N 7 NE 8 E 10 E 12 E 15 E 18
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10004 9 21 31 36 28
$$
Forecaster...Bryan
Requested by...S. Grasmick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414642.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.grasmick@usda.gov