Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
395
FNUS73 KDLH 051059
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
559 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on June 05.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Search site and General Ely Forecast -
Clouds are expected to move off to the east pretty quickly this
morning, leading to a several hour period of mostly sunny skies.
Then, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon. Exact timing will be tricky due to the scattered
and on-and-off nature of these storms, but a few showers could
start to develop around noon, then a better chance for storms
starting around 1 to 2 PM. From then through 9 or 10 PM, expect
on-and-off showers and storms mixed with periods of sunshine in
the middle. While most of these storms are not expected to be
severe, there is a very slight chance that there could be a strong
storm or two capable of wind gusts to around 50 mph and hail to
nickel size. Passing showers and storms will likely cause gusty
and erratic winds at times. Otherwise, breezy southwest to west
winds are expected today.
There may be a brief break from rain tonight, but additional
scattered light rain showers are expected to redevelop later
tonight and persist into Thursday. Gusty northwest winds are
expected to persist through Thursday.
Ely Visibility and Ceilings -
VFR conditions are expected through this morning. VFR ceilings are
largely expected through the afternoon and evening before low
stratus clouds develop gradually tonight, leading to MVFR and
eventually IFR ceilings by Thursday morning. It is possible that,
with passing showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, there could
be brief ceiling reductions to MVFR. More likely will be that
visibilities drop briefly to MVFR/IFR this afternoon in passing
showers and storms. Visibility is generally expected to remain
VFR tonight, though a very brief reduction to MVFR in a passing
shower can`t be ruled out.
To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly
sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...29 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west 6 to 11 mph with
gusts to around 23 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Ceiling (kft).......7.6 increasing to 16 early in the morning, then
increasing to 22 early in the morning
increasing to 23 late in the morning decreasing
to 9.0 decreasing to 5.9 late in the afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....9 decreasing to 6 late in the afternoon, then
increasing to 10 late in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY PC MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 10 30 40 50 50 60 50
Chc of thdr (%).10 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30
Temp............55 57 58 61 66 69 71 71 71 69 68 68
RH..............93 90 86 78 63 57 49 47 46 51 52 52
Surface wnd dir.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
Surface wnd spd.2 2 3 4 7 8 9 10 11 11 10 10
Surface wnd gst.9 9 13 15 17 20 21 22 23 23 23 22
Ceiling (kft)...7.6 16 22 23 25 23 10 10 9.8 9.2 9.0 5.9
Visibility (sm).9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain
showers through the night.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...33 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early
in the evening then 21 mph after 3 am.
Ceiling (kft).......8.7 increasing to 9.8 late in the evening, then
decreasing to 6.3 late in the evening
decreasing to 3.9 overnight decreasing to 2.6
decreasing to 1.5 after 3 am.
Visibility (sm).....10.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50 20 10 20 20 40
Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 30 20 20
Temp............65 62 57 55 54 51
RH..............56 65 75 80 83 89
Surface wind....W 9 W 8 W 7 W 7 W 8 W 9
Surface wnd gst.20 16 15 16 18 20
Ceiling (kft)...8.7 9.0 9.8 6.8 2.8 1.8
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......1.0 decreasing to 0.9 late in the morning, then
increasing to 1.1 late in the morning
increasing to 1.8 early in the afternoon
increasing to 2.5.
Visibility (sm).....9.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 50 50
Chc of thdr (%).20 10 10 10
Temp............49 52 54 54
RH..............93 80 66 64
Surface wind....W 10G21 W 12G24 W 13G26 NW 13G26
Ceiling (kft)...1.3 0.9 1.3 2.2
Visibility (sm).10 9 10 10
$$
Forecaster...Josh
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.13/DLH
.DELDT 06/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 7111@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,7310@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov,7101@slcrs.org,7337@slcrs.org,Emergency@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us