Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
957
FNUS73 KDLH 030916
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Minnesota Wildfire Academy...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
416 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on June 03.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
A few showers lingering early this morning will exit early this
morning with clouds then decreasing to partly sunny skies. Winds
will start out south at 4 to 8 mph then veer to west. The humidity
will drop to 50 to 55 percent this afternoon. Smoke dispersal will
start out poor but improve to good through the day. Tonight will
remain precipitation free with good humidity recovery with max
humidity values rising to 95 to 100 percent.
More rain will arrive on Tuesday ahead of a cold front. Showers and
thunderstorms will develop through the day, especially during the
afternoon. Some of the storms could be severe with the potential for
large hail and damaging wind. Rainfall amounts of a half to around
an inch will be possible. Winds will start out southeast 7 to 12
mph in the morning and veer to southwest by late Tuesday
afternoon with gusts around 20 mph. Humidity values will remain
elevated through the day Tuesday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0800, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
west late in the morning. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late in
the morning.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6800-21400 knot-ft) increasing to
fair to good (28700-45900 knot-ft) late in the
morning.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............60 61 64 66 68 69 72 74 74 75 76
RH..............96 100 90 84 78 73 66 62 62 58 54
20 FT wind dir..S SW SW W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.11 11 11 11 12 12 13 12 12 11 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.1
Transp wind dir.SW W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 13 14 14 13 13 10 9 8
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10007 10 14 21 35 39 41 46 36 34 29
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 6
mph overnight.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 3 to
12 mph in the late evening and overnight, then
shifting to the south around 14 mph early in
the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1600-19900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............75 72 64 60 57 58
RH..............58 64 81 90 96 96
20 ft wind......W 4 SW 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 4 SE 5
20 ft wind gust.7 5 5 5 7 9
Mix hgt (ft)....4000 700 500 400 400 400
Transport wind..W 6 NW 3 SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 S 12
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100020 2 2 2 3 4
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 22 mph shifting to the southwest with
gusts to around 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late morning and
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 2600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph shifting to the west 15 to
20 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6000-25400 knot-ft) increasing to
good (30300-49900 knot-ft) in the late morning
and afternoon, then decreasing to fair (23900
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.97 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 30 40 70 100
LAL.............1 1 3 3 4 4
Temp............60 63 67 72 73 71
RH..............96 97 90 81 81 81
20 ft wind......SE 7 SE 8 SE 10 SE 12 S 11 SW 8
20 ft wind gust.12 15 19 21 22 20
Mix hgt (ft)....500 1200 1700 2300 2400 2000
Transport wind..SE 14 SE 18 S 23 S 23 S 21 W 17
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10006 19 34 47 44 30
$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Travis Verdegan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415302.0/DLH
.DELDT 06/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Travis.Verdegan@state.mn.us, woodrow.unruh@noaa.gov,
afsrock@stcloudstate.edu, wesley.belanger@state.mn.us,
brad.hopkins@noaa.gov, josh.donatell@state.mn.us, lori.karau@usda.gov,
milocke@paulbunyan.net