Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
397
FNUS73 KDLH 211132
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Wood Lake Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
632 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on September 21.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
There are some scattered showers with an embedded storm or two
early this morning, and will continue to see a 30-40% chance for
off and on light to moderate precipitation throughout the morning.
Accumulations of around one tenth of an inch or less are expected
this morning. Additional scattered showers and a few embedded thunderstorms
are forecast for this afternoon (30-50% chances) before moving
east of the wildfire location by roughly 6 to 7 pm. Afternoon
accumulations will again be around a tenth of an inch or less
unless a storm briefly moves directly overhead. Skies remain
partly sunny to mostly cloudy through the day. Winds will be
start out southerly, but veer to southwesterly in the early
afternoon and then westerly by late afternoon. Winds will
increase to 8 to 11 mph during mid morning through afternoon, and
gusts will also increase to around 20 mph for the afternoon and
evening hours. Min RH will drop to around 45-50 percent during
the afternoon. Smoke dispersal will become good to excellent
during the late morning and afternoon.
Sunday will see partly cloudy skies with winds out of the
northwest
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers through the day. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2 until 1600, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 9 mph with
gusts to around 19 mph in the late morning and
early afternoon, then shifting to the southwest
around 8 mph with gusts to around 19 mph late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph shifting to the west 14 to 16
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3600-14700 knot-ft) increasing to
good to excellent (31800-68900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 40 40 30 30 30 40 50 30 30 30 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1
Temp............49 52 56 62 67 70 73 75 74 72 71 69
RH..............94 88 83 70 61 53 49 48 53 61 66 70
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.5 7 9 13 15 18 19 19 19 19 19 19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.0 4.4 3.5 2.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 12 15 20 21 21 20 16 16 14
Haines index....6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10004 4 4 6 15 37 55 69 68 61 49 32
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
early in the evening.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL in the
late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30600-36300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
to fair (6500-14700 knot-ft) early in the
evening.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............67 62 55 51 49 46
RH..............70 72 83 86 86 86
20 ft wind......W 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6
20 ft wind gust.19 18 16 16 15 14
Mix hgt (ft)....2600 1100 700 700 500 500
Transport wind..NW 16 NW 16 NW 16 NW 16 NW 16 NW 15
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100036 15 9 10 7 7
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5500-15100 knot-ft) increasing to
good to excellent (46400-74500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............44 51 62
RH..............89 66 48
20 FT wind......NW 5G13 NW 7G16 NW 9G18
Mix hgt (ft)....500 3000 4500
Transport wind..NW 14 N 18 NW 18
Haines index....3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10006 48 72
$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Jeb Backe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422772.1/DLH
.DELDT 09/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL walkaman.white@gmail.com