Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
382
FNUS73 KDLH 181948
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Barnes Slash Burn...Wisconsin DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
248 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on September 18.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Very warm temperatures are expected this afternoon as southerly
flow continues ahead of an approaching low pressure system. Cloud
cover will be increasing from the west this afternoon and evening
as a cold front moves towards northwest Wisconsin. Shower activity
currently observed near Brainerd, MN is not expected to impact the
Barnes area this evening. However, shower and thunderstorms will
be possible early Thursday morning around the 0400-0600 timeframe.
A second round of stronger thunderstorms developing along the cold
front will be moving through in the late afternoon on Thursday
around 1800-2000. Expect gusty and erratic winds around any
thunderstorms. Winds tomorrow will maintain a southerly component,
gradually shifting to the west late Thursday night into Friday
morning following the cold frontal passage.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph with gusts to around
19 mph.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (54600-77000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC PC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............85 86 84
RH..............39 38 41
20 FT wind dir..S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.19 19 19
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.S S S
Transp wind spd.21 20 18
Haines index....4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100077 66 55
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers late in the evening. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
early in the evening then 20 mph late in the
evening, then then 20 mph after 3 am. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
3 am.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4900-18400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
Temp............80 78 74 72 70 69 69 69 68 67 66 65
RH..............44 49 57 56 58 60 60 55 57 61 62 64
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.18 16 16 16 16 18 16 16 16 16 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 15
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100018 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon. A few storms may be strong to severe.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1000, then 1 until 1600, then 2 until
1700, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 22
mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms through the day.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 28 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5400-22300 knot-ft) increasing to
excellent (84500-95700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.20 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 40
LAL.............2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4
Temp............65 65 67 69 73 75 77 80 81 81 83 81
RH..............66 73 70 71 64 62 62 57 59 57 55 61
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.18 18 20 20 20 21 21 21 22 22 22 22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 14 15 18 20 20 22 23 24 26 28 28
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10005 6 10 17 22 32 46 56 70 85 96 90
$$
Forecaster...Woody
Requested by...Eric Sirrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422642.2/DLH
.DELDT 09/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.sirrine@wi.gov