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WWUS63 KDMX 132000
WCNDMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 409
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
300 PM CDT THU JUN 13 2024

IAC003-007-039-051-053-117-121-123-125-135-159-173-175-179-181-
185-140300-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.A.0409.240613T2000Z-240614T0300Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
AREAS

IN IOWA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 16 COUNTIES

IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA

APPANOOSE             CLARKE                DECATUR
LUCAS                 MADISON               MAHASKA
MARION                MONROE                RINGGOLD
UNION                 WARREN                WAYNE

IN SOUTHEAST IOWA

DAVIS                 WAPELLO

IN SOUTHWEST IOWA

ADAMS                 TAYLOR

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALBIA, ALLERTON, BEDFORD, BLOOMFIELD,
CARLISLE, CENTERVILLE, CHARITON, CORNING, CORYDON, CRESTON,
EARLHAM, HUMESTON, INDIANOLA, KNOXVILLE, LAMONI, LENOX, LEON,
MOUNT AYR, NEW MARKET, NORWALK, OSCEOLA, OSKALOOSA, OTTUMWA,
PELLA, SEYMOUR, AND WINTERSET.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

 SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
   INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY.
 SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
   TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE.
 A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE.

PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES       :  10%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 75 MPH            :  50%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              :  70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          :  60%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  90%
MEAN STORM MOTION /MPH/                            :  SE 35

$$