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WWUS63 KDMX 181847
WCNDMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 434
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
147 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2024

IAC009-025-027-029-033-047-063-081-091-109-147-151-161-187-189-
195-197-190100-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.A.0434.240618T1847Z-240619T0100Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
434 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN IOWA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 17 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL IOWA

WEBSTER

IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA

CERRO GORDO           HANCOCK               HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH               WINNEBAGO             WORTH
WRIGHT

IN NORTHWEST IOWA

EMMET                 PALO ALTO             POCAHONTAS

IN SOUTHWEST IOWA

CASS

IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA

AUDUBON               CALHOUN               CARROLL
CRAWFORD              SAC

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALGONA, ATLANTIC, AUDUBON, BELMOND,
BRITT, CARROLL, CLARION, CLEAR LAKE, DENISON, EAGLE GROVE, EARLY,
EMMETSBURG, ESTHERVILLE, EXIRA, FONDA, FOREST CITY, FORT DODGE,
GARNER, GILMORE CITY, HUMBOLDT, KANAWHA, LAKE CITY, LAKE MILLS,
LAKE VIEW, LAURENS, MANLY, MANSON, MASON CITY, NORTHWOOD,
ODEBOLT, POCAHONTAS, POMEROY, ROCKWELL CITY, ROLFE, SAC CITY,
SCHALLER, AND WALL LAKE.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

 SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY.
 SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
   INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE.
 A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE.

PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  20%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES       :  10%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 75 MPH            :  20%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              :  50%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          :  30%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS :  90%
MEAN STORM MOTION /MPH/                            :  E 35

$$

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