Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
444 FXXX01 KWNP 182201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 Sep 18 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 18/0344Z from Region 3828 (S13E47). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (19 Sep, 20 Sep, 21 Sep). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 546 km/s at 17/2326Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 17/2148Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 18/1055Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6 pfu at 17/2150Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 268 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (19 Sep, 21 Sep) and quiet levels on day two (20 Sep). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (19 Sep, 20 Sep, 21 Sep).