Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
943 FXXX01 KWNP 162201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 Sep 16 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at 16/0125Z from Region 3824 (S04W40). There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on day one (17 Sep) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days two and three (18 Sep, 19 Sep). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 580 km/s at 16/0606Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 16/0947Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 16/0932Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4 pfu at 15/2150Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2241 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to major storm levels on day one (17 Sep) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (18 Sep, 19 Sep). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (17 Sep), have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (18 Sep) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (19 Sep).