030
FNUS53 KDTX 120754
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

.DISCUSSION...Warming trend continues with highs in the mid 80s today
and nearing 90 on Thursday. Humidity increases during this time as
well with minimum RH values holding in the 40 to 50 percent range.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms arrive Thursday along with
increasing southwest winds. Higher than usual confidence in hot and
humid conditions early next week with daytime highs in the 90s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-122115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6510-7010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1007).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5130-5630 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1490).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-122115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6350-6850 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (996).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 5 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4680-5180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1456).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-122115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6880-7380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (955).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....84-90.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5620-6120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1554).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower
90s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower
90s.

$$

TF