231
FNUS53 KDTX 111941
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
341 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather expected through Wednesday with
temperatures warming mostly into the 80s. Minimum RHs through this
period will continue to hold around 30 to 40 percent with generally
light winds through Wednesday. Rain and thunderstorms arrive
Thursday along with increasing southwest winds. Higher than usual
confidence in hot and humid conditions early next week with daytime
highs in the 90s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-121415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
341 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (443).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5360-5860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (835).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......360-560 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-121415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
341 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming south early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5770-6270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (418).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5160-5660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (817).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-121415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
341 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6140-6640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (380).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5860-6360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (923).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......340-540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.

$$

CB