117
FNUS53 KDTX 190741
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
341 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather persists over Southeast Michigan
today with minimum RHs in the 40s and modest southwest flow.
Scattered thunderstorms return today.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-192115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
341 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THURSDAY...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....86-90.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (997).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2910-3410 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (195).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-192115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
341 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....88-94.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4280-4780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (797).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2520-3020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (169).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-192115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
341 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THURSDAY...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 8 am until
                    1700, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (633).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northeast around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4620-5120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (262).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$

KGK