Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
834
FNUS53 KDTX 280711
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
311 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...Additional showers and thundestorms return to the
forecast today as several upper level disturbances pivot back east
into the area. This activity will linger to some degree into tonight
and even parts of Wednesday before the last of these system clear
the region and high pressure brings dry conditions for the balance
of the week. Cool temperatures in the mid 60s to around 70 midweek
will moderate back into the 70s by Friday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-282115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
311 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm, then rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6460-6960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (856).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5070-5570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (776).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-282115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
311 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4760-5260 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (649).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    11 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3810-4310 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (674).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-282115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
311 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm, then showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4880-5380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (664).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Rain showers likely.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4930-5430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (841).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

DG