450
FNUS53 KDTX 011915
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
315 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...A plume of showers with a few rumbles of thunder across
the Midwest and Ohio valley today move into Lower Michigan tonight
and early Sunday as low pressure moves through the region. Humidity
increases considerably with this system compared to the last few
days and rainfall averages in the 0.25 to 0.75 inch range with
locally higher totals before diminishing to scattered coverage
Sunday afternoon. Dry weather moves in with weak high pressure
Sunday night which lasts through Monday until the next chance of
rain arrives Monday night. This activity kicks off an active mid
week period due to a larger low pressure system in central Canada.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
315 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers until
                    0500, then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2670-3170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (306).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4320-4820 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (382).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-012115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
315 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 11 pm, then showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm, then slight chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2050-2550 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (200).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......980-1180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3480-3980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (314).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
315 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 am until 5 am. Chance of precipitation
                    90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 5 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 pm until 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming east early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3040-3540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming north early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (318).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (321).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs around 70.

$$

BT