562
FNUS53 KDTX 232003
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure maintains a dry pattern tonight through
Friday. Temperatures start out on the cool side Friday morning and
then warm into the lower 80s in the afternoon which helps humidity
drop down to around 30 percent on light SE wind. Rain showers become
likely Friday night with a chance of thunderstorms into Saturday
morning. Dry weather Saturday afternoon continues into early Sunday
until the next round of showers and unsettled weather arrives later
Sunday through Monday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
403 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6220-6720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (756).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4570-5070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (671).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
403 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming north after midnight.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4850-5350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (557).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Rain showers likely
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
403 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6010-6510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (747).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4650-5150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (667).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.

$$

BT