108
FNUS53 KDTX 200800
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
400 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions with above normal temperatures, moderate
humidity, and light southeast wind continue today. Scattered light
showers are possible this afternoon and early tonight head of a cold
front. Dry and warm conditions are likely again Saturday with
westerly winds and brief high pressure influence.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-202100-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
400 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Slight chance of showers after 11 am
                    until 5 pm. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 pm until 5 pm, then chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4920-5420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (655).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4990-5490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (566).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-202100-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
400 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Slight chance of showers after 11 am.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4250-4750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (433).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4110-4610 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (476).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-202100-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
400 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 11 am. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5540-6040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (561).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and early morning, then becoming
                    west after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and early morning, then becoming
                    northwest after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4730-5230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (641).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Not as warm. Cloudy with showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

KGK