504
FNUS53 KDTX 231920
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.DISCUSSION...Departing cold front is followed by cooler and less
humid air through Monday. There is a lingering chance of showers
across the Thumb region tonight but dry weather is otherwise
expected until the next chance of showers and thunderstorms late
Monday night and early Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (703).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5480-5980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (320).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of showers.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........67-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2810-3310 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 am, then slight chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5250-5750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (440).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent) until 2 am, then partly
                    cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
320 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 am, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3910-4410 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1009).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6350-6850 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (462).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$

BC