Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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628
FNUS21 KWNS 211637
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1136 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

Valid 211700Z - 221200Z

The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous
discussion below.

..Weinman.. 05/21/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024/

...Synopsis...
An upper trough will progress eastward today traversing the Rockies,
while a mid-level jet slowly exits the Desert Southwest and High
Plains. The entrance region of this jet, however, will remain over
NM and far eastern AZ for most of the day. Deep westerly to
southwesterly flow is still expected across the aforementioned
states, albeit slower/weaker than Monday. West to southwest surface
winds around 15 to 20 mph will develop this afternoon across much of
NM and AZ, and RH will drop into the low teens to single digits.
Sustained wind speeds across northern NM may briefly exceed 20 mph,
where momentum transfer through a deeply mixed boundary layer and a
tighter pressure gradient will reside. A Critical area does not
appear warranted at this time, though, considering the duration of
the higher speeds and less receptive fuels across this region.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$