Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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604
FNUS21 KWNS 140653
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

...Synopsis...
A midlevel trough and belt of south-southwesterly flow aloft will
advance east-northeastward across the Southwest on Friday. A surface
low south of south-central NM will promote modestly breezy westerly
surface winds across southeastern AZ and southwestern NM. Given a
deep/dry boundary layer across the area (single-digit RH), elevated
to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. The
primary limiting factor for the addition of a Critical area
continues to be marginal surface winds (15-20 mph). Across northern
Arizona on the fringe of better moisture located across the Four
Corners into western New Mexico, isolated dry thunderstorms will be
possible along the Mogollon Rim.

Enhanced westerly flow aloft will move into the base of a
mid-level trough across the Northwest Friday afternoon. The
associated downslope flow across the Cascades and Sierra will favor
locally dry/breezy conditions across portions of northwestern NV and
eastern WA/northeastern OR where fuels have dried sufficiently to
support fire spread. As a result, elevated conditions are expected
for both areas, with locally critical conditions possible in
northwestern NV -- where 20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds
are expected.

..Thornton.. 06/14/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$