![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
744 FNUS22 KWNS 151925 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0224 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN ARIZONA...AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEVADA... The Critical and Elevated areas across parts of Utah, Arizona, western Colorado, and western New Mexico were expanded in response to a trend in guidance for windier and drier conditions in these locales. Additionally, some brief, localized Elevated conditions are possible across parts of southeast Colorado, given the expectation of RH below 15% and somewhat dry fuels. However, wind speeds at the moment appear rather modest, and therefore no Elevated areas are introduced in this region for this update. Otherwise, see the previous discussion for more details. ..Supinie.. 06/15/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024/ ...Synopsis... The western US trough will deepen on Sunday, with strengthening southwesterly flow overspreading much of the desert Southwest. Fuels in this region have seen significant drying after several days of warm and dry conditions. Latest guidance indicates ERCs are in the 90th percentile across much of northern and central Arizona. This is further supported by recent fire activity in this region. Relative humidity reductions to 5-10 percent will overlap sustained winds 15-20 mph across central/northern Arizona and southern Utah, where a Critical delineation was included with this outlook. Outside of this region, a more broad area of Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible across much of central/southern Nevada into southern Arizona, where there is less confidence is sustained Critical wind speeds. Elevated conditions may also extend into portions of western Nevada in the lee of the Sierras. In this region, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent will overlap sustained winds 10-15 mph (locally higher) amid modestly receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$