147
ACUS03 KWNS 241927
SWODY3
SPC AC 241926

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
Tropical Cyclone Helene is forecast to move inland across northern
Florida and Georgia on Thursday. A risk for tropical-cyclone
tornadoes will accompany this system, particularly from the central
Florida Peninsula into southeast Georgia and southern South
Carolina.

...FL/GA/SC - Tropical Cyclone Helene...
Tropical Cyclone Helene is forecast to be a major hurricane in the
eastern Gulf of Mexico early Thursday morning. Current forecast
track from the National Hurricane Center takes this system quickly
north-northeastward to the FL Big Bend vicinity by 00Z Friday before
it then tracks more north-northwesterly into northern GA by 12Z
Friday. This progression places the much of the FL Peninsula,
central to southeast GA, and much of SC with the eastern semi-circle
of the storm during the period. A preceding maritime tropical
airmass is already in place, with additional moistening anticipated
as the storm moves through. This favorable low-level moisture is
expected to result in at least modest buoyancy capable of supporting
deeper, more persistent updrafts. Intense low to mid-level wind
fields will be colocated with this buoyancy, contributing to
increased chance for tropical-cyclone related tornadoes.

..Mosier.. 09/24/2024

$$