Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
052
FNUS54 KEPZ 171123
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire danger today with southwest winds 15 to 20 mph and
min RH 5-12%. Winds peaking in the late afternoon with Excellent
smoke ventilation and transport to the NE. Winds will be a bit
lighter on Tuesday with similar conditions otherwise. Monsoonal
push of moisture from the southeast late this week will increase
humidity, rain chances, and cloud coverage Thursday through
Saturday. Temperatures will be much cooler those days under ESE
flow and Good ventilation. Scattered showers and thunderstorms can
be expected each afternoon, with gusty and erratic outflow winds
and possible new lightning starts.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-171830-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (232800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....55-60.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (167500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 86 to 91. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 79 to 84. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ111-171830-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (253100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (187300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 96 to
100. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs near 90. East winds 10 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs near 90. East
winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NMZ112-171830-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (277200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........19-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (189600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 96 to 101. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 70. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
64 to 69. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-171830-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......12100 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (285400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....77-82.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-13 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (182800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 84 to 89. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 72 to 77. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 56 to 61. Highs 70 to 75. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-171830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT TUESDAY...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (247400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........21-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 99 to 103. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 80s. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows near 70. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. East winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ056-171830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
523 AM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (261400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.JUNETEENTH...Clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 78 to 83. East
winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 60s.
Highs 81 to 86. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
Dennhardt