Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
795
FNUS54 KEPZ 291905
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Minimal fire concerns continue as we remain in a monsoonal
pattern. Afternoon min RH values are expected to drop to the mid
20s for tomorrow in the lowlands. This is partially courtesy of
lower temperatures. Another round of thunderstorms is anticipated
in the afternoon with the greatest coverage in the mountains.
Winds, outside of storm influences, will be light, generally less
than 10 MPH. Venting will range very good to excellent for Sunday
and good to very good on Monday.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-301300-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-61.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (145700 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms
through the night. Scattered rain showers
after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-60.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....77-82 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then numerous showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 80 to 85. West winds around
5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 83 to 88. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-301300-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms through the night. Scattered
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........58 to 63 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 0300, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-97.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........25-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (172800 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers in the
evening. Scattered thunderstorms through the
night. Scattered showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....91-95.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-301300-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (173100 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 26 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (120900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 75. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 93 to 98. West
winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-301300-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....88-93 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....83-88 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98500 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......8300-9700 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 84 to 89. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-301300-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....77-81.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (175400 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........3.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (95100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 96 to 100.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-301300-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
105 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........68-73 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (180300 knot-ft).
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....69-74.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (127500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs 96 to 101. South winds
around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$