726
FNUS74 KEPZ 101701
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Antone...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1101 AM MDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 MDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
We will continue to have warm and dry weather through the end of
the week. Min RH`s the next couple of days will be near 20% with
only modest overnight recoveries to around 40%. Winds will be
generally light from the west today, then light or drainage
tonight and then light from the west to northwest on Tuesday. We
will see generally light winds Wed and Thu, but Friday could see
some stronger winds that may approach critical levels. Rain
chances the next several days are very low, but we may see some
build-ups the next couple of afternoons. If an isolated storm does
develop it could produce dry lightning and strong and gusty outflow
winds. Vent rates the next couple of days will be good to very
good.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 11 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (106200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........55     64     65     65
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............70     74     77     76
RH..............26     22     19     19
20 ft wind......W 7    W 8    W 8    W 8
20 ft wind gust.9      14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....9900   9900   11500  11500
Transport wind..NW 11  NW 11  NW 12  NW 12
Haines index....3      3      4      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..106    106    125    125
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   VYGD   VYGD   VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (115300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (3000 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........52     52     34     15     15     10
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............74     66     61     58     56     54
RH..............20     27     33     37     38     41
20 ft wind......W 6    W 6    W 3    W 2    W 2    W 1
20 ft wind gust.10     10     8      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....9600   9600   400    400    400    400
Transport wind..NW 12  NW 12  N 9    N 9    NW 8   NW 8
Haines index....5      4      4      3      3      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..115    115    3      3      3      3
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   VYGD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......12600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (46900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (119200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........7         8         16        25
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............53        68        78        84
RH..............41        24        17        13
20 FT wind......NW 3G5    NW 5G8    NW 7G14   NW 8G14
Mix hgt (ft)....3900      3900      11000     12600
Transport wind..NW 12     NW 12     NW 10     NW 11
Haines index....3         3         5         6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47        47        84        119
Ventrate Cat....FAIR      FAIR      GOOD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BRICE
Requested by...NMSDC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415831.2/EPZ
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@firenet.gov