Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
145
FNUS74 KEPZ 142026
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Gooseberry...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
226 PM MDT Fri Jun 14 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Slight chance of a thunderstorm early this evening, otherwise continued
very warm and dry. No significant winds expected, but afternoon breezes
southwest 10 to 15 mph will develop each day through Monday. Poor overnight
humidity recovery for next several nights.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around
21 mph shifting to the east around 5 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 16 mph shifting to the northwest
around 7 mph in the late evening and overnight,
then shifting to the northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (177700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(0 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........5 5 4 4 4 2
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............77 69 65 62 59 58
RH..............10 12 13 16 21 24
20 ft wind......SW 8 SW 8 S 5 NE 5 NE 5 E 5
20 ft wind gust.21 21 12 9 9 9
Mix hgt (ft)....9900 9900 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..W 16 W 16 NW 7 NW 7 NE 7 NE 7
Haines index....6 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..178 178 0 0 0 0
Ventrate Cat....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
around 6 mph early in the afternoon, then
shifting to the west around 9 mph with gusts to
around 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the north around
7 mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
then shifting to the west around 10 mph late in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (105100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........3 3 2 5 5 10
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............57 64 71 76 80 81
RH..............29 27 19 15 13 11
20 ft wind......E 5 E 5 NE 5 N 6 N 6 W 9
20 ft wind gust.9 9 9 15 15 21
Mix hgt (ft)....3600 3600 9500 9500 10700 10700
Transport wind..E 9 E 9 N 7 N 7 W 10 W 10
Haines index....4 3 3 5 6 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..33 33 66 66 105 105
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after 3 am.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (104600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(0 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky (%).........5 4 4 3
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............79 68 64 61
RH..............13 16 21 23
20 FT wind......SW 10G21 W 8G18 W 5G12 NW 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....9500 9500 100 BLW100
Transport wind..W 15 W 15 W 11 NW 6
Haines index....6 6 6 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..105 105 1 0
Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
west 7 to 10 mph in the late morning and early
afternoon, then shifting to the southwest
around 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest 11 to 18 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (108500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (152300
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........2 2 4
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............59 72 79
RH..............24 17 10
20 FT wind......NE 6G12 NW 7G15 SW 10G24
Mix hgt (ft)....3800 8700 9300
Transport wind..NW 6 SW 11 SW 18
Haines index....5 4 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23 109 152
Ventrate Cat....POOR VYGD EXNT
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds
around 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds around 9 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds
around 9 mph.
$$
Forecaster...HEFNER
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416136.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov