Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
439 FNUS74 KEPZ 231707 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for NORMANDY FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1107 AM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on June 23. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Modest southeast winds are expected today, shifting westerly tonight as drainage winds develop with good overnight recovery. A shower or two is possible this evening. For Monday, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected late in the day. Storm chances increase even more around midweek as the moisture plume moves into the region. Outside of outflows, winds will be generally light from the west through midweek. Temperatures will warm up to above normal early this week. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 68. Max humidity........73 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (55100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3000 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........41 41 55 46 46 49 Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC NONE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC NONE Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 50 20 20 10 LAL.............5 5 4 1 1 1 Temp............90 82 77 74 72 70 RH..............25 38 52 59 64 68 20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 SW 7 SW 7 W 6 20 ft wind gust.14 14 14 12 12 9 Mix hgt (ft)....7900 1900 800 800 400 400 Transport wind..SW 12 SW 12 SW 11 SW 11 W 8 W 8 Haines index....3 3 3 3 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..55 25 5 5 3 3 Ventrate Cat....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4 until 1500, then 5. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........28 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the north around 9 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (61000 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........50 50 17 28 28 46 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 30 60 70 LAL.............1 1 1 4 5 5 Temp............69 71 80 88 91 91 RH..............70 68 51 35 30 28 20 ft wind......W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 W 7 W 8 20 ft wind gust.9 9 12 10 10 14 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1400 3100 6100 7500 7500 Transport wind..W 8 W 8 NW 7 NW 7 N 9 N 9 Haines index....2 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 11 25 35 51 61 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Thunderstorms likely early in the evening. Showers likely in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................5 until 2100, then 4 until 2400, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 69. Max humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (61000 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........59 57 56 47 Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY NONE NONE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 10 10 LAL.............5 5 1 1 Temp............88 79 74 71 RH..............30 47 62 66 20 FT wind......W 10G14 W 8G14 NW 7G12 NW 6G8 Mix hgt (ft)....4400 400 400 400 Transport wind..W 15 W 15 W 10 W 6 Haines index....3 3 3 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..61 6 3 2 Ventrate Cat....GOOD POOR POOR POOR .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 6 mph. .THURSDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. Southwest winds around 6 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. West winds around 7 mph. $$ Forecaster...ARONSON Requested by...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416500.2/EPZ .DELDT 06/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov