Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
326 FNUS74 KEPZ 200021 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Antone Fire...USFS National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 621 PM MDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on June 20. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Tonight recovery will be good. For Thursday, the airmass will be slightly humid. There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms with the main treat from any storms will be lightning and gusty winds.The 20ft winds will be low end breezy and generally out from the southeast with the temperature below the normal. Thursday overnight recovery will be very good. Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the evening and possibly the overnight hours. For the rest of the period, there will be continued chances for showers and thunderstorms each day. The winds will be generally breezy and the temperatures below the normal while gradually increasing to near the average each consecutive day. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 24 to 29 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (51200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (133400 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (153200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........26 26 14 8 8 15 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............56 63 70 75 78 79 RH..............77 67 51 42 35 32 20 ft wind......SE 13 SE 13 SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 12 20 ft wind gust.26 26 26 24 24 23 Mix hgt (ft)....2000 2000 5800 5800 7500 7500 Transport wind..SE 26 SE 26 SE 29 SE 29 SE 24 SE 24 Haines index....2 2 2 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..51 51 133 133 153 153 Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 4 until 0300, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 56. Max humidity........86 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 11 to 12 mph with gusts to around 33 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late evening and overnight. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 24 to 28 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (137700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (9300 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........13 13 27 53 53 73 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 Temp............76 69 64 61 59 57 RH..............34 46 58 67 76 81 20 ft wind......SE 12 SE 12 SE 12 S 12 S 12 S 11 20 ft wind gust.33 33 31 30 30 28 Mix hgt (ft)....6000 6000 400 400 1100 1100 Transport wind..SE 28 SE 28 SE 25 SE 25 S 24 S 24 Haines index....3 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..138 138 9 9 24 24 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........49 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 21 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (42400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (106600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........79 78 84 83 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 60 60 LAL.............1 1 5 5 Temp............56 64 70 73 RH..............86 70 59 49 20 FT wind......SE 10G18 SE 8G16 S 7G15 S 6G13 Mix hgt (ft)....2200 2200 5200 5800 Transport wind..SE 22 SE 22 S 24 S 21 Haines index....2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..42 42 104 107 Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR VYGD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .SUNDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds. .MONDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Light winds. $$ Forecaster...TEXEIRA Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416319.3/EPZ .DELDT 06/19/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov