Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
139
FNUS74 KEPZ 152257
FWSEPZ
Spot Forecast for Antone...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
457 PM MDT Sat Jun 15 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Mainly clear conditions can be expected to next few days. This
will result in a continuation of very dry conditions with Min RH
values dropping to around 10% each afternoon. In general winds
will not be extremely strong, but west and southwest breezes will
gust at times into the 20 to 25 mph range during the late
afternoon and early evening hours. Meanwhile a combination of warm
daytime temps and decent transport wind speeds will result in
excellent vent rates for the next couple of days.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........8 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph with gusts
to around 20 mph in the late morning and early
afternoon, then shifting to the southwest
around 9 mph with gusts to around 22 mph late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the
southwest in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23100 knot-ft) increasing to very good
(129000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (181500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
Sky (%).........3 1 1 6 4 4
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............58 67 77 83 84 83
RH..............28 21 15 11 9 8
20 ft wind......NW 4 W 5 W 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 9
20 ft wind gust.12 15 15 20 22 22
Mix hgt (ft)....2300 2300 10500 10500 11600 11600
Transport wind..NW 12 NW 12 SW 13 SW 13 SW 17 SW 17
Haines index....5 4 5 6 6 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23 23 129 129 182 182
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD EXNT EXNT
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around
22 mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL in the
late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (168500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
(2800 knot-ft) in the late evening and
overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........6 6 3 5 5 3
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............82 73 65 61 57 54
RH..............8 11 16 19 23 28
20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 9 W 7 W 4 W 4 W 3
20 ft wind gust.22 22 21 14 14 9
Mix hgt (ft)....10500 10500 300 300 300 300
Transport wind..W 17 W 17 W 13 W 13 W 10 W 10
Haines index....6 6 6 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..169 169 4 4 3 3
Ventrate Cat....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 7 to 10 mph with
gusts to around 24 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (58900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to very good (141000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (188900
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........2 3 5 4
Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............54 65 78 83
RH..............30 23 12 10
20 FT wind......SW 3G13 SW 7G20 SW 10G24 SW 10G24
Mix hgt (ft)....3500 3500 7400 9300
Transport wind..SW 14 SW 14 SW 22 SW 23
Haines index....4 4 5 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..59 59 141 189
Ventrate Cat....FAIR FAIR VYGD EXNT
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
around 6 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 9 mph.
$$
Forecaster...LANEY
Requested by...Rocky Beery
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416183.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rocky.beery@usda.gov