Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
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082 FXUS64 KEWX 140453 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1153 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 A few isolated showers will remain possible through the afternoon and early evening. Since they will mainly be diurnally driven, expect any showers or storms that form to quickly dissipate after sunset. Temperatures overnight will stay on the muggy side as easterly to southeasterly surface flow continues. Subtropical ridging will build in over South Central Texas on Friday, effectively cutting off any rain chances for the region. Temperatures will warm slightly, into the mid to upper 90s for all locations outside of the Rio Grande Plains on Friday. After a few morning clouds, we should see mainly sunny skies throughout the day. Not much else can really be said about the short term period as heat and humidity dominate the forecast through the remainder of the period. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 The subtropical ridge will keep dry weather in place at the start of the long term. High temperatures Saturday and Sunday will mostly be in the 90s with triple digits confined to the Rio Grande region and southern I-35 Corridor. Afternoon dewpoint temperatures will remain mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s keeping heat indices below advisory criteria. Sunday afternoon and Monday a midlevel trough will approach the TX coast from the Gulf and could produce some showers and thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains each afternoon. Chances will be better on Monday as the trough gets closer. Models are showing possible tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico into the middle on next week and increasing chances for convection into our CWA. Most of the activity will be diurnally driven with showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening each day Tuesday through Thursday. Chances will increase and push farther inland each day. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1152 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 There is a slight chance for MVFR ceilings around 11-15Z at SAT, otherwise VFR conditions continue for the period. Wind will be mainly southeasterly below 10 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 96 76 96 74 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 97 74 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 97 75 98 73 / 20 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 93 73 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 105 82 104 81 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 93 73 95 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 97 75 97 74 / 20 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 94 73 95 72 / 10 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 93 74 94 73 / 10 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 97 76 97 75 / 20 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 98 76 99 75 / 20 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Short-Term...MMM Long-Term...05 Aviation...27