629
FXUS64 KEWX 190525 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1225 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

An upper level ridge continues to reside over the southern plains
this afternoon. The low level pressure field has become somewhat ill
defined. The flow, while generally from the southern half of the
compass, is a bit erratic over South-Central Texas. A warm, moist
airmass remains in place. Temperatures and dewpoints are 0-5 degrees
warmer than 24 hours ago. The upper ridge will strengthen during the
short term period. The low level flow will become better established
from the southeast tonight and continue through Thursday night.
Subsident flow from the upper ridge will keep the weather dry
through the period. The above normal temperatures will also
continue. Lows both tonight and tomorrow night will be mostly in the
70s. Some record warm lows will be possible both nights. High
temperatures Thursday will be in the 90s. Record highs are 100 and
higher. While we do not have any records in the forecast, some
places could be within a couple of degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Basically status quo again today. More of the same hot and dry
weather can be expected through the long term period. 500mb ridging
will remain in control late week into the weekend. While a trough
from the west will approach on Sunday, it will likely remain well
north of our region, resulting in a continued dry forecast. This
trough may still help to weaken the ridging in place and bring back
some weak southwesterly flow by the middle of next week. This could
result in some increased rain chances, but for now, chances are quite
low and hot and dry weather remains favored in the 6-10 day and 8-14
day CPC temp and precip outlooks for our region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

MVFR cigs return to the I-35 sites between 08z and 10z and then last
through 15z. For KDRT, MVFR cigs are forecast for the 11z hour and
last through 14z. VFR cigs are forecast across all area terminals by
15z with winds out of the southeast 8 to 10 knots with occasional
gusts of 12 to 15 knots. The wind stays light and at or below 6
knots overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry             100  75 100  74 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  98  75  99  72 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     99  75 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            97  74  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           98  79  97  79 /   0   0   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        97  74  98  72 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             97  75  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        98  74  98  72 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   97  75  97  72 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       97  77  98  75 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           98  78  98  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...17
Long-Term...04
Aviation...17