449
FXUS64 KEWX 140001
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
701 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

A few isolated showers will remain possible through the afternoon
and early evening. Since they will mainly be diurnally driven,
expect any showers or storms that form to quickly dissipate after
sunset. Temperatures overnight will stay on the muggy side as
easterly to southeasterly surface flow continues.

Subtropical ridging will build in over South Central Texas on
Friday, effectively cutting off any rain chances for the region.
Temperatures will warm slightly, into the mid to upper 90s for all
locations outside of the Rio Grande Plains on Friday. After a few
morning clouds, we should see mainly sunny skies throughout the day.
Not much else can really be said about the short term period as heat
and humidity dominate the forecast through the remainder of the
period.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The subtropical ridge will keep dry weather in place at the start of
the long term. High temperatures Saturday and Sunday will mostly be
in the 90s with triple digits confined to the Rio Grande region and
southern I-35 Corridor. Afternoon dewpoint temperatures will remain
mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s keeping heat indices below
advisory criteria. Sunday afternoon and Monday a midlevel trough will
approach the TX coast from the Gulf and could produce some showers
and thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains each afternoon. Chances
will be better on Monday as the trough gets closer. Models are
showing possible tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico
into the middle on next week and increasing chances for convection
into our CWA. Most of the activity will be diurnally driven with
showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening each
day Tuesday through Thursday. Chances will increase and push farther
inland each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 658 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

VFR conditions expected to prevail for the duration of the 00z TAF.
cycle. Scattered showers have remained south of the KSAT and KSSF
terminals for the past couple of hours so have removed vicinity
mention in prevailing as any ongoing convection is anticipated to
decline as we move into the overnight hours. There remains a low
chance for some MVFR conditions Friday morning however confidence
remains too low to mention in prevailing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              76  96  74  97 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  74  96  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     75  98  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            73  94  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           82 104  81 103 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        73  95  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             75  97  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        73  95  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   74  94  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       76  97  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           76  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...MMM
Long-Term...05
Aviation...36