Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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819 FXUS62 KFFC 120717 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 317 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024 ...Morning Area Forecast Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 316 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024 Old frontal boundary remains stationary across the panhandle of Florida. A couple of waves of low pressure are progged to move east along the boundary through the short term period. Some isolated pops are possible in far SE GA Thursday afternoon (closest to the boundary/lows), but for most areas the forecast will remain dry. Temps slightly above normal through the period. NListemaa && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 316 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024 Broad and wide mid/upper level ridging will dominate much of the long term. Temperatures will continue to climb through Saturday, when highs could potentually reach 100 degrees in portions of Central GA. Models continue to struggle with moisture transport out of the Gulf as they struggle to get a handle on the development of a gulf sfc low. Recent trends are catching on a weak sub-tropical jet shortwave which helps to develop something over the Florida Panhandle before sending it off into the Atlantic. NE flow associated with this low could certainly dry us out more than expected as we go into the weekend. PWATs seem to reflect this hanging near 1 to 1.5" in both the GFS and ECMWF as well as the GEFS mean. This would put us just below normal for this time of year. Dry air would mean both reduced heat indices and PoPs. The NBM seems to reflect this by keeping PoPs out of the area through early next week, though given the uncertainty in moisture transport and incoming shortwave energy, will likely bring low PoPs into Central GA through early next week. Speaking of early next week, a building sub-tropical jetstreak over Arkansas and the Mid-Mississippi valley will once again draw moisture out of the Gulf and provide more robust PoPs across North and Central GA. CAPE values will be conducive to our normal diurnally driven pulse convection. Greater precipitation coverage will help to moderate out temperatures, however this will likely be traded for a classic "Southeast Sauna". SM && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1247 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024 VFR through the period. A wind shift to the east side is expected shortly after 06Z. //ATL Confidence...06Z Update... High confidence all elements. NListemaa && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 88 67 90 67 / 0 0 10 0 Atlanta 89 70 91 71 / 0 0 10 0 Blairsville 82 63 84 63 / 0 0 10 0 Cartersville 89 67 92 68 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 92 72 93 72 / 10 10 10 0 Gainesville 87 67 89 68 / 0 0 10 0 Macon 92 70 93 68 / 10 10 10 0 Rome 91 67 93 69 / 0 0 10 0 Peachtree City 89 68 92 69 / 0 0 10 0 Vidalia 92 71 92 70 / 10 10 20 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...NListemaa LONG TERM....SM AVIATION...NListemaa