335
FXUS65 KFGZ 301657
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
957 AM MST Thu May 30 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Dry, warm conditions along with reoccurring afternoon
breezes out of the west to southwest each day into next week.
This weekend will see slightly stronger gusts compared to
today and Friday. Regardless, the uptick in wind will have
minimal impacts.

&&

.UPDATE...Another fair weather day lies ahead for northern
Arizona. Nothing to update at this time but Friday could see a few
afternoon cloud buildups as moisture increases slightly. Mainly
just an increase in cloudiness but isolated virga showers, stray
sprinkles and even a bit of gusty wind at the surface can`t be
ruled out.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /318 AM MST/...Zonal flow has set-up for today and will persist
through most of Friday. Winds are going to remain SW-W during the
day, though gusts will drop today compared to yesterday.
Expecting temperatures to moderate today and tomorrow. CAMs are
hinting at isolated showers along the higher terrain today and
slightly more for tomorrow. However, dry air in place should all
but prevent this from occurring/making it to the surface.

Going into the weekend, another trough will pass us by to the
north. Overall impacts will be limited as it will be too far north
for any real influence outside of bumping our afternoon gusts up
slighty, around 20-30 mph. High temperatures will take a slight
hit...but only by roughly 2-4 degrees.

Following the trough this weekend, ridging returns for at least
the first half of next work week. During this time, temperatures
are going to moderate. Triple digits are on the board for the
lower elevations by Wednesday and even much of the higher
elevations will start to break into the 80s.

Still monitoring the signal from models of precipitation chances
by the end of next week when low pressure sets up on the coast
near southern California and works with flow around the ridge to
usher moisture into the region.

&&

.AVIATION...Thursday 30/18Z through Friday 31/18Z...VFR conditions
expected to continue through the TAF period. Light and variable
winds will continue through at least 20Z, with W-SW winds 10-15
kts afterwards. Winds should calm overnight, except localized
breezes along/north of a KFLG-KSOW line.

OUTLOOK...Friday 31/18Z through Sunday 02/18Z...VFR conditions
look to persist through the outlook period. Winds will generally
be out of the SW each afternoon, 5-15 kts sustained and gusting
20-25 kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Friday...Dry and warm conditions, with
southwest winds at 5-15 mph each afternoon. Afternoon minimum RH
values 5-15% with overnight recoveries of 25-45%. A non-zero chance
of high-based showers Friday afternoon.

Saturday through Monday...Warm and dry weather continues. Southwest
winds 10-15 mph, with gusts to 25 mph expected. Afternoon minimum RH
values 5-15% with overnight recovery 20-40%.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...McCollum/RKR
AVIATION...Konieczny
FIRE WEATHER...Konieczny

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff