870
FNUS75 KFGZ 220352
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Sayer fire...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
852 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 MST on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
Saturday and Sunday. Light south winds will be gusty around storms.
Expect min RH around 25-30 percent each day, with poor ventilation
overnight.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......3.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly cloudy with a chance for showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......872.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13000
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    in the late evening and overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
                    morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......979.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12400
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    800 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the east
                    in the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the south late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KLIMOWSKI
Requested by...Nathaniel Dierking
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416479.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nathaniel.Dierking@usda.gov